Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Auburn Gresham: All categories · 12:00–18:00 — Graffiti requests

All categories · 12:00–18:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
167
October 2025–September 2026
106
Change in monthly mean
-5.08

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.58-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly graffiti removal requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Mar 2019: 1Apr 2019: 1May 2019: 2Jun 2019: 6Jul 2019: 13Aug 2019: 5Sep 2019: 3Oct 2019: 3Nov 2019: 3Dec 2019: 1Jan 2020: 3Feb 2020: 15Mar 2020: 7Apr 2020: 26May 2020: 7Jun 2020: 4Jul 2020: 9Aug 2020: 19Sep 2020: 11Oct 2020: 7Nov 2020: 6Dec 2020: 7Jan 2021: 6Feb 2021: 2Mar 2021: 9Apr 2021: 8May 2021: 2Jul 2021: 8Aug 2021: 8Sep 2021: 4Oct 2021: 2Nov 2021: 1Dec 2021: 10Jan 2022: 8Mar 2022: 9Apr 2022: 28May 2022: 14Jun 2022: 7Jul 2022: 14Aug 2022: 10Sep 2022: 4Oct 2022: 1Nov 2022: 11Jan 2023: 5Feb 2023: 4Mar 2023: 4Apr 2023: 9May 2023: 18Jun 2023: 26Jul 2023: 1Aug 2023: 10Sep 2023: 6Oct 2023: 4Nov 2023: 2Dec 2023: 8Jan 2024: 8Feb 2024: 2Mar 2024: 4Apr 2024: 5May 2024: 10Jul 2024: 23Aug 2024: 5Sep 2024: 9Oct 2024: 6Nov 2024: 30Dec 2024: 12Jan 2025: 12Feb 2025: 14Mar 2025: 15Apr 2025: 17May 2025: 7Jun 2025: 12Jul 2025: 5Aug 2025: 16Sep 2025: 21Oct 2025: 5Nov 2025: 4Dec 2025: 11Jan 2026: 9Feb 2026: 3Mar 2026: 24Apr 2026: 15May 2026: 13Jun 2026: 3Jul 2026: 4Aug 2026: 11Sep 2026: 4ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2019: zero requests; not connectedJun 2021: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2022: zero requests; not connectedDec 2022: zero requests; not connectedJun 2024: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.07Fitted increase · 6 zeros fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (11)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 6 confirmed zeros fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.071.024–1.11560.149
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 20264complete
August 202611complete
July 20264complete
June 20263complete
May 202613complete
April 202615complete
March 202624complete
February 20263complete
January 20269complete
December 202511complete
November 20254complete
October 20255complete
September 202521complete
August 202516complete
July 20255complete
June 202512complete
May 20257complete
April 202517complete
March 202515complete
February 202514complete
January 202512complete
December 202412complete
November 202430complete
October 20246complete
September 20249complete
August 20245complete
July 202423complete
June 20240complete
May 202410complete
April 20245complete
March 20244complete
February 20242complete
January 20248complete
December 20238complete
November 20232complete
October 20234complete
September 20236complete
August 202310complete
July 20231complete
June 202326complete
May 202318complete
April 20239complete
March 20234complete
February 20234complete
January 20235complete
December 20220complete
November 202211complete
October 20221complete
September 20224complete
August 202210complete
July 202214complete
June 20227complete
May 202214complete
April 202228complete
March 20229complete
February 20220complete
January 20228complete
December 202110complete
November 20211complete
October 20212complete
September 20214complete
August 20218complete
July 20218complete
June 20210complete
May 20212complete
April 20218complete
March 20219complete
February 20212complete
January 20216complete
December 20207complete
November 20206complete
October 20207complete
September 202011complete
August 202019complete
July 20209complete
June 20204complete
May 20207complete
April 202026complete
March 20207complete
February 202015complete
January 20203complete
December 20191complete
November 20193complete
October 20193complete
September 20193complete
August 20195complete
July 201913complete
June 20196complete
May 20192complete
April 20191complete
March 20191complete
February 20190complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T12:10:53.153Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T11:22:56.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:f761b44d-f9db-4d57-b536-48aea9b60f93:neighborhood-v2:92a4f07bf78223c46f0225ec51847bc9
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
b1b50b2f8779b882da812393c9e78f1e9b9c7160a174a54aa838ef5771181f3a

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other graffiti requests candidates or review the complete screening method.