Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Albany Park: All categories · 18:00–24:00 — Graffiti requests

All categories · 18:00–24:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
185
October 2025–September 2026
602
Change in monthly mean
+34.75

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 3.25-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

Phase suggestions withheld: serial pattern remains in the candidate fits. Manual boundaries can explore, not confirm, a change.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly graffiti removal requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. Phase suggestions withheld: serial pattern remains in the candidate fits. Manual boundaries can explore, not confirm, a change. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthSingle-trend reference: 2019-01–2026-09Mar 2019: 14Apr 2019: 14May 2019: 9Jun 2019: 11Jul 2019: 9Aug 2019: 33Sep 2019: 16Oct 2019: 11Nov 2019: 8Dec 2019: 13Jan 2020: 26Feb 2020: 35Mar 2020: 17Apr 2020: 17May 2020: 19Jun 2020: 33Jul 2020: 33Aug 2020: 19Sep 2020: 20Oct 2020: 31Nov 2020: 6Dec 2020: 31Jan 2021: 6Feb 2021: 19Mar 2021: 9Apr 2021: 9May 2021: 7Jun 2021: 15Aug 2021: 16Sep 2021: 9Oct 2021: 9Nov 2021: 9Dec 2021: 9Jan 2022: 3Feb 2022: 9Mar 2022: 8Apr 2022: 10May 2022: 10Jun 2022: 7Jul 2022: 21Aug 2022: 12Sep 2022: 14Oct 2022: 12Nov 2022: 4Dec 2022: 25Jan 2023: 19Feb 2023: 4Mar 2023: 24Apr 2023: 12May 2023: 17Jun 2023: 11Jul 2023: 12Aug 2023: 12Sep 2023: 4Oct 2023: 8Nov 2023: 4Dec 2023: 18Jan 2024: 4Feb 2024: 8Mar 2024: 12Apr 2024: 7May 2024: 6Jun 2024: 7Jul 2024: 10Aug 2024: 6Sep 2024: 24Oct 2024: 20Nov 2024: 31Dec 2024: 6Jan 2025: 12Feb 2025: 3Mar 2025: 7Apr 2025: 7May 2025: 18Jun 2025: 14Jul 2025: 8Aug 2025: 13Sep 2025: 46Oct 2025: 15Nov 2025: 43Dec 2025: 39Jan 2026: 67Feb 2026: 58Mar 2026: 80Apr 2026: 69May 2026: 108Jun 2026: 23Jul 2026: 18Aug 2026: 21Sep 2026: 61ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2019: zero requests; not connectedJul 2021: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Single-trend reference · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.06Direction uncertain (serial pattern) · 3 zeros fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (13)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 3 confirmed zeros fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • The best candidate failed the residual-independence diagnostic. A single-trend reference is shown instead; this does not establish a stable trend.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.061.016–1.10130.352
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202661complete
August 202621complete
July 202618complete
June 202623complete
May 2026108complete
April 202669complete
March 202680complete
February 202658complete
January 202667complete
December 202539complete
November 202543complete
October 202515complete
September 202546complete
August 202513complete
July 20258complete
June 202514complete
May 202518complete
April 20257complete
March 20257complete
February 20253complete
January 202512complete
December 20246complete
November 202431complete
October 202420complete
September 202424complete
August 20246complete
July 202410complete
June 20247complete
May 20246complete
April 20247complete
March 202412complete
February 20248complete
January 20244complete
December 202318complete
November 20234complete
October 20238complete
September 20234complete
August 202312complete
July 202312complete
June 202311complete
May 202317complete
April 202312complete
March 202324complete
February 20234complete
January 202319complete
December 202225complete
November 20224complete
October 202212complete
September 202214complete
August 202212complete
July 202221complete
June 20227complete
May 202210complete
April 202210complete
March 20228complete
February 20229complete
January 20223complete
December 20219complete
November 20219complete
October 20219complete
September 20219complete
August 202116complete
July 20210complete
June 202115complete
May 20217complete
April 20219complete
March 20219complete
February 202119complete
January 20216complete
December 202031complete
November 20206complete
October 202031complete
September 202020complete
August 202019complete
July 202033complete
June 202033complete
May 202019complete
April 202017complete
March 202017complete
February 202035complete
January 202026complete
December 201913complete
November 20198complete
October 201911complete
September 201916complete
August 201933complete
July 20199complete
June 201911complete
May 20199complete
April 201914complete
March 201914complete
February 20190complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T12:10:53.153Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T11:22:56.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:f761b44d-f9db-4d57-b536-48aea9b60f93:neighborhood-v2:e355118a2f2a2695b55d618cc6497028
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
ac6e4f76a93fb4ed7a7a0ad540d71777697b7fa0c129f40e0763ea506954eece

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other graffiti requests candidates or review the complete screening method.