Generated evidence · pending editorial review

West Englewood: ROBBERY — Crime reports

ROBBERY · all other available filters

City source retrieved November 5, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
168
October 2025–September 2026
106
Change in monthly mean
-5.17

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.58-fold. These are published reports, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly crime reports on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Reports per monthsuggested phase 1: 2016-10–2026-09Oct 2016: 29Nov 2016: 32Dec 2016: 35Jan 2017: 29Feb 2017: 17Mar 2017: 22Apr 2017: 26May 2017: 24Jun 2017: 22Jul 2017: 25Aug 2017: 41Sep 2017: 25Oct 2017: 25Nov 2017: 16Dec 2017: 22Jan 2018: 19Feb 2018: 17Mar 2018: 23Apr 2018: 16May 2018: 20Jun 2018: 20Jul 2018: 38Aug 2018: 32Sep 2018: 24Oct 2018: 18Nov 2018: 18Dec 2018: 20Jan 2019: 11Feb 2019: 11Mar 2019: 10Apr 2019: 13May 2019: 21Jun 2019: 16Jul 2019: 35Aug 2019: 19Sep 2019: 24Oct 2019: 19Nov 2019: 17Dec 2019: 17Jan 2020: 16Feb 2020: 20Mar 2020: 15Apr 2020: 15May 2020: 30Jun 2020: 19Jul 2020: 26Aug 2020: 23Sep 2020: 16Oct 2020: 20Nov 2020: 21Dec 2020: 14Jan 2021: 10Feb 2021: 15Mar 2021: 8Apr 2021: 16May 2021: 17Jun 2021: 13Jul 2021: 13Aug 2021: 10Sep 2021: 9Oct 2021: 14Nov 2021: 8Dec 2021: 15Jan 2022: 22Feb 2022: 15Mar 2022: 11Apr 2022: 18May 2022: 10Jun 2022: 15Jul 2022: 31Aug 2022: 18Sep 2022: 31Oct 2022: 25Nov 2022: 14Dec 2022: 14Jan 2023: 15Feb 2023: 11Mar 2023: 8Apr 2023: 23May 2023: 12Jun 2023: 9Jul 2023: 23Aug 2023: 24Sep 2023: 18Oct 2023: 13Nov 2023: 11Dec 2023: 14Jan 2024: 21Feb 2024: 12Mar 2024: 9Apr 2024: 17May 2024: 14Jun 2024: 9Jul 2024: 18Aug 2024: 19Sep 2024: 22Oct 2024: 29Nov 2024: 22Dec 2024: 21Jan 2025: 15Feb 2025: 5Mar 2025: 16Apr 2025: 9May 2025: 6Jun 2025: 11Jul 2025: 12Aug 2025: 13Sep 2025: 9Oct 2025: 10Nov 2025: 8Dec 2025: 3Jan 2026: 6Feb 2026: 11Mar 2026: 9Apr 2026: 9May 2026: 10Jun 2026: 8Jul 2026: 12Aug 2026: 10Sep 2026: 10ZeroUnknownOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Oct 2016–Sep 2026÷1.05Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (9)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1October 2016–September 2026120÷1.050.9435–0.966200.347
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly reports
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202610complete
August 202610complete
July 202612complete
June 20268complete
May 202610complete
April 20269complete
March 20269complete
February 202611complete
January 20266complete
December 20253complete
November 20258complete
October 202510complete
September 20259complete
August 202513complete
July 202512complete
June 202511complete
May 20256complete
April 20259complete
March 202516complete
February 20255complete
January 202515complete
December 202421complete
November 202422complete
October 202429complete
September 202422complete
August 202419complete
July 202418complete
June 20249complete
May 202414complete
April 202417complete
March 20249complete
February 202412complete
January 202421complete
December 202314complete
November 202311complete
October 202313complete
September 202318complete
August 202324complete
July 202323complete
June 20239complete
May 202312complete
April 202323complete
March 20238complete
February 202311complete
January 202315complete
December 202214complete
November 202214complete
October 202225complete
September 202231complete
August 202218complete
July 202231complete
June 202215complete
May 202210complete
April 202218complete
March 202211complete
February 202215complete
January 202222complete
December 202115complete
November 20218complete
October 202114complete
September 20219complete
August 202110complete
July 202113complete
June 202113complete
May 202117complete
April 202116complete
March 20218complete
February 202115complete
January 202110complete
December 202014complete
November 202021complete
October 202020complete
September 202016complete
August 202023complete
July 202026complete
June 202019complete
May 202030complete
April 202015complete
March 202015complete
February 202020complete
January 202016complete
December 201917complete
November 201917complete
October 201919complete
September 201924complete
August 201919complete
July 201935complete
June 201916complete
May 201921complete
April 201913complete
March 201910complete
February 201911complete
January 201911complete
December 201820complete
November 201818complete
October 201818complete
September 201824complete
August 201832complete
July 201838complete
June 201820complete
May 201820complete
April 201816complete
March 201823complete
February 201817complete
January 201819complete
December 201722complete
November 201716complete
October 201725complete
September 201725complete
August 201741complete
July 201725complete
June 201722complete
May 201724complete
April 201726complete
March 201722complete
February 201717complete
January 201729complete
December 201635complete
November 201632complete
October 201629complete
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
Crimes — 2001 to Present · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-05T21:08:01.557Z
Publisher update
2026-11-05T12:12:19.000Z
Covered months
October 2016–September 2026
Source note
Source ijzp-q8t2. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Published crime reports, not population-adjusted rates or final incidence. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Crime analysis starts January 1, 2002; 2001 is excluded from counts and fitting inputs. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:ef0c5e9b-09d5-4a2d-849e-1be6745dbfbb:neighborhood-v2:844170f3bc62e8ddd78b67bd4d2af12e
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
715d749e8eaffce77412158dbeefc1f572d1a7b92ae3c066d43f13f214d7fee4

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other crime reports candidates or review the complete screening method.