Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Englewood: ROBBERY — Crime reports

ROBBERY · all other available filters

City source retrieved November 5, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
176
October 2025–September 2026
103
Change in monthly mean
-6.08

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.71-fold. These are published reports, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly crime reports on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Reports per monthsuggested phase 1: 2016-10–2026-09Oct 2016: 31Nov 2016: 29Dec 2016: 23Jan 2017: 29Feb 2017: 17Mar 2017: 14Apr 2017: 24May 2017: 22Jun 2017: 24Jul 2017: 25Aug 2017: 30Sep 2017: 21Oct 2017: 23Nov 2017: 17Dec 2017: 13Jan 2018: 15Feb 2018: 9Mar 2018: 13Apr 2018: 10May 2018: 23Jun 2018: 15Jul 2018: 23Aug 2018: 15Sep 2018: 15Oct 2018: 19Nov 2018: 32Dec 2018: 12Jan 2019: 14Feb 2019: 15Mar 2019: 12Apr 2019: 14May 2019: 14Jun 2019: 26Jul 2019: 20Aug 2019: 16Sep 2019: 16Oct 2019: 25Nov 2019: 26Dec 2019: 21Jan 2020: 28Feb 2020: 16Mar 2020: 13Apr 2020: 9May 2020: 13Jun 2020: 19Jul 2020: 11Aug 2020: 16Sep 2020: 22Oct 2020: 18Nov 2020: 13Dec 2020: 20Jan 2021: 15Feb 2021: 6Mar 2021: 5Apr 2021: 9May 2021: 17Jun 2021: 14Jul 2021: 12Aug 2021: 11Sep 2021: 16Oct 2021: 19Nov 2021: 14Dec 2021: 17Jan 2022: 29Feb 2022: 19Mar 2022: 14Apr 2022: 16May 2022: 12Jun 2022: 14Jul 2022: 11Aug 2022: 11Sep 2022: 13Oct 2022: 17Nov 2022: 11Dec 2022: 22Jan 2023: 17Feb 2023: 8Mar 2023: 20Apr 2023: 20May 2023: 19Jun 2023: 11Jul 2023: 18Aug 2023: 23Sep 2023: 16Oct 2023: 12Nov 2023: 18Dec 2023: 20Jan 2024: 13Feb 2024: 19Mar 2024: 16Apr 2024: 24May 2024: 19Jun 2024: 17Jul 2024: 20Aug 2024: 15Sep 2024: 17Oct 2024: 18Nov 2024: 14Dec 2024: 24Jan 2025: 15Feb 2025: 3Mar 2025: 13Apr 2025: 7May 2025: 19Jun 2025: 17Jul 2025: 17Aug 2025: 21Sep 2025: 8Oct 2025: 19Nov 2025: 2Dec 2025: 8Jan 2026: 7Feb 2026: 8Mar 2026: 4Apr 2026: 4May 2026: 10Jun 2026: 11Jul 2026: 5Aug 2026: 15Sep 2026: 10ZeroUnknownOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Oct 2016–Sep 2026÷1.04Fitted decrease

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (8)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1October 2016–September 2026120÷1.040.9524–0.979300.263
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly reports
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202610complete
August 202615complete
July 20265complete
June 202611complete
May 202610complete
April 20264complete
March 20264complete
February 20268complete
January 20267complete
December 20258complete
November 20252complete
October 202519complete
September 20258complete
August 202521complete
July 202517complete
June 202517complete
May 202519complete
April 20257complete
March 202513complete
February 20253complete
January 202515complete
December 202424complete
November 202414complete
October 202418complete
September 202417complete
August 202415complete
July 202420complete
June 202417complete
May 202419complete
April 202424complete
March 202416complete
February 202419complete
January 202413complete
December 202320complete
November 202318complete
October 202312complete
September 202316complete
August 202323complete
July 202318complete
June 202311complete
May 202319complete
April 202320complete
March 202320complete
February 20238complete
January 202317complete
December 202222complete
November 202211complete
October 202217complete
September 202213complete
August 202211complete
July 202211complete
June 202214complete
May 202212complete
April 202216complete
March 202214complete
February 202219complete
January 202229complete
December 202117complete
November 202114complete
October 202119complete
September 202116complete
August 202111complete
July 202112complete
June 202114complete
May 202117complete
April 20219complete
March 20215complete
February 20216complete
January 202115complete
December 202020complete
November 202013complete
October 202018complete
September 202022complete
August 202016complete
July 202011complete
June 202019complete
May 202013complete
April 20209complete
March 202013complete
February 202016complete
January 202028complete
December 201921complete
November 201926complete
October 201925complete
September 201916complete
August 201916complete
July 201920complete
June 201926complete
May 201914complete
April 201914complete
March 201912complete
February 201915complete
January 201914complete
December 201812complete
November 201832complete
October 201819complete
September 201815complete
August 201815complete
July 201823complete
June 201815complete
May 201823complete
April 201810complete
March 201813complete
February 20189complete
January 201815complete
December 201713complete
November 201717complete
October 201723complete
September 201721complete
August 201730complete
July 201725complete
June 201724complete
May 201722complete
April 201724complete
March 201714complete
February 201717complete
January 201729complete
December 201623complete
November 201629complete
October 201631complete
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
Crimes — 2001 to Present · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-05T21:08:01.557Z
Publisher update
2026-11-05T12:12:19.000Z
Covered months
October 2016–September 2026
Source note
Source ijzp-q8t2. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Published crime reports, not population-adjusted rates or final incidence. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Crime analysis starts January 1, 2002; 2001 is excluded from counts and fitting inputs. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:ef0c5e9b-09d5-4a2d-849e-1be6745dbfbb:neighborhood-v2:c09c5cd42fd76c1c5dd41051ce633f45
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
aa9de08689467a4be9adfbd53727c08aaa68703f441582eb854e972c803b1f3e

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other crime reports candidates or review the complete screening method.